Pricewatch | 07 Jan 2022 | Gas Matters Today

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European gas prices continued to climb on Thursday amid weak pipeline flows from Russia and colder weather.

The February-dated NBP and TTF contracts rallied by ~5% yesterday, settling at a six-day high. The Dutch marker closed at the equivalent of USD 31.98/MMBtu – USD 0.14/MMBtu higher than the UK marker.

Flows from Norway rebounded on Thursday – following an unplanned outrage at the Oseberg field on Wednesday – however flows from Russia remained flat day-on-day. The sustained weaker flows from Russia and colder weather sweeping across Europe has helped lift European gas prices this week.

While gas and coal prices in Europe strengthened, the carbon price fell for the first time in five days. The January-dated EUA contract closed 1% lower day-on-day at EUR 86.32/tonne.

Asian LNG marker JKM dipped by 0.4% to close at USD 34.07/MMBtu. The fall, coupled with the European gas price rally, reduced JKM’s premium over TTF to USD 2.09/MMBtu.

US gas benchmark Henry Hub fell on Thursday, closing 1.8% lower at USD 3.81/MMBtu.

As for crude, Brent and WTI continued to climb amid unrest in OPEC+ producer Kazakhstan and continued outages in Libya.

On Thursday Chevron, stakeholder in the Tengiz oilfield – the largest in Kazakhstan – announced that there has been a "temporary adjustment to output due to logistics" as a result of protests at the field.

Brent closed 1.5% higher at USD 81.99/barrel, with WTI closing 2.1% higher at USD 79.46/barrel.

Front-month futures and indexes at last close with day-on-day changes (click to enlarge):

Time references based on London GMT. Brent, WTI, NBP, TTF and EU CO2 data from ICE. Henry Hub, JKM and API2 data from CME. Prices in USD/MMBtu based on exchange rates at last market close. All monetary values rounded to nearest whole cent/penny. Text and graphic copyright © Gas Strategies, all rights.

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