Between 2025 and 2030, Qatar will double its LNG production capacity. The North Field Expansion at Ras Laffan together with Golden Pass in the US will boost capacity from 77 mtpa today to 154 mtpa. To do this on such a scale without having sold most of the capacity beforehand is unprecedented. If Qatar ends up selling much of its capacity on a spot and short-term basis, what would be the implications for global LNG trading dynamics? One view is that a sizeable liquidity shock would be good for customers – but discomfiting for competing producers.
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